Political Science 3000
Political Analysis
Final Exam Review


The material covered in this last half of the semester can be broken down into sections based on 1) the purpose of inquiry and 2) the components for establishing a causal relationship.

Purpose of Inquiry: Description
Descriptive statistics

Purpose of Inquiry: Explanation
Establishing a causal relationship: 3 components

  1. Time order: cause precedes effect
    • based on theory and observation
  2. Correlation: cause and effect have a tendency to occur/not occur together
    • based on tabular analysis or regression
    • remember the four key questions to this particular aspect of establishing correlation
    1. Is there a relationship?
      • Changes in column percentages across categories of independent variable.
    2. Is the relationship strong?
      • magnitude of percentage changes.
      • magnitude of measures of association. (know which ones to use when).
    3. What is the direction of the relationship? (ordinal or interval/ratio only)
      • distibution of cases within the table
      • sign of measure of association
    4. Is the relationship statistically significant?
      • to what extent is this relationship due to sampling error?
        • probability values: how are they interpreted?
        • You should also be familiar with Type I and Type II errors.
  3. Accounting for other possible explanations
    • Elaboration-the introduction of a control variable
      • Two questions:
        1. What happens to the relationship when the control variable is introduced?
        2. Is the control variable antecendent or intervening?

NOTE: In each instance it will be important for you to not just understand the technical terminology of these analyses but also the plain english interpretations of them.